Friday, August 14, 2009

I don’t think the Obama Administration took over GM. I think GM took over the Obama Administration.


I don’t think the Obama Administration took over GM. I think GM took over the Obama Administration.


The above is from Instapundit, Glenn Reynolds - showing why he's the Big Daddy of mostly-political bloggers.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Support Democracy in Iran !!!

I do not know how to support Iranian democracy at this moment. I do know that we must - as a moral imperative, as well as a hope to avoid war soon and a nuclear confrontation sooner or later.

The anecdotal news from Iran is blood-curdling, hard to verify and likely true.
The Obama administration should be doing a lot. The world press should be giving more attention to Iran.

Hillary Clinton should be making big noises here and there's nothing but Bubba bringing back babes from North Korea to a welcome choreographed by LA public-relations firms. The situation in Iran is reminiscent of Bubba's inaction in Bosnia while Muslim women were dying of dehydration tied to beds in Rape Motels.

The details are appalling but ineluctable, making these questions clear and obvious:
  • Why all this silence?
  • What does it cost us to protest these travesties?
  • What does it cost our souls to fail to protest these travesties?

Saturday, August 8, 2009

Economic Viet Nam

2009-2010 will see a turning point in American politics analogous to the public repudiation of the Viet Nam War. It will cross political lines and generational lines and racial lines. It's coming.

It's coming because people all over the United States know from their own personal experience that the economic news out of Washington has no correspondence to the truth, as they can see it every day of their lives. Moreover, their state and local governments confirm their own experience and deny the statements of the federal government.

The economic policies put in place by Barack Obama have not been focused on improving the living conditions of his constituents.

Obama's policies have been narrowly focused on improving the economic indicators.

The map is not the territory. That's how this situation has come to be.

Why has this situation come to be? It doesn't matter why. Whether the Obama Whitehouse has done this cynically, thinking that people can be convinced to deny what they see with their own lying eyes . . .or naively, thinking that conditions will be improved if only the indices can be brought back up . . .there's no denying that this has been done expertly.

Cash-for-Clunkers: Gross National Product is designed to be a measure of over-all wealth creation - new goods and services. New Car Sales are an increase to GNP and national wealth; used-car sales are a transfer of an old toy to a new owner and do not count. The destruction of several million working automobiles does not affect GNP. Increased prices of used cars and used car parts, due to the destruction of several million cars, are weighted by the volume of sales - so the rising prices are washed out by the destroyed cars taken off the market.

What's Wrong With This Picture? Millions of real people are affected by the higher price of used cars and used-car repair. Everyone is affected by the debt and interest payments on $3 billion in subsidies for new car purchases.

Stimulus/Porkulus Package: The money provided in this bill has been poorly accounted for and disbursements have been timed and focused to manipulate various economic indices and to reward political allies of President Obama.

What's Wrong With This Picture? The management of publicly-held stock companies have a duty to their shareholders to maximize shareholder value. After seeing how these appropriations are being disbursed and how GM/Chrysler dealerships with Republican affiliations were closed as part of the bankruptcies of these companies, no further lessons are necessary. No commercial interests will oppose Barack Obama.

When Obama stands before the cameras has says x, he believes it . . .while virtually all of his viewers know that what he says is the not the truth.

Soon, this is what you will see:
  • politicians becoming frantic, desperate tap-dancing-magicians - attempting to be all things to all people until they can figure out what will keep them in office
  • the public, as voters, becoming angry and nihilistic
  • the public, as consumers, continuing to be too scared to support an economic recovery.
UPDATE: A few days after this posting, the Washington Post picked up on it:

Friday, August 7, 2009

Icky Old Stuff - How Younger Voters Tune Out ObamaCare

What do voters under 40 make of the fracas over ObamaCare?

Does anyone over-40 remember what they thought of Social Security when they were younger? No, they don't. They never thought about it. Never. Social Security and Old Age were things that would never happen to them. Young folks still think that Old Age will never happen to them.

If anyone were driving the run-away bus that is the Republican Party, someone would be sparing some effort to educate younger voters. Younger voters have more to lose. Younger voters can be swayed by this issue, if they understand it. In a 50.1% electoral world, one would be wise to remain mindful of younger voters:
  • Old age will happen to them.
  • The younger they are, the more broken will be the system that they inherit.
  • Young voters have more to lose, not less - financially and politically.
  • Freedom and liberty issues will fall more heavily upon the young - required this and forbidden that. They will not be spared the life-style mandates that are embodied in the 1,300 pages of law.
But . . .nobody is driving the run-away bus.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Fake Statistics for a Spectacular Recovery - Pay No Attention to the Man Behind the Curtain

Aug 1, 2009 - headline:
U.S. Recession Worst Since Great Depression, Revised Data Show courtesy of Drudge and Bloomberg.

Behind the curtain and nearly un-reported was this boring July 31 news release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis at the Dept. of Commerce:
REVISED - All the economic data from the last 80 years has been revised; that's why the Recession was/is worse than previous reported (components re-weighted, in geekspeak). Gee, why? No answer. Gee, why now? No answer.

Permit me to make a cynical conjecture:
  • All the data have been revised and their components re-weighted so that the likely path of this 2009-2012 recovery will appear more dramatic for the election purposes of the Democratic Party.
  • The Bush-bits will be shown as worse than before and the Obama-bits will then resemble nothing so much as the Obamassiah himself - transcendent.
  • The first step was to make the recession look worse.
Now the only thing that can go wrong is for the recovery to take an unexpected course . . . which is not all that unlikely.

The tip for this blog item came from economic analysis by Steven Hansen: . Thanks to him.

Saturday, August 1, 2009

Iran and Israel . . .Hot Air and Physics

Israel is facing the promise of annihilation from the ruling government of Iran.

Two Israeli governments have permitted themselves to be dithered (if that verb can be used in the passive voice) for at least two years by two US governments = nothing that anyone, anywhere, should be proud of.

The election protests in Iran have met with appalling repression and have given vain hope that military force will be unnecessary. More likely to be the case is that military force will make Iranian government reform more possible and more likely in the disorganization that will follow the Israeli strike.

At the moment, the timing comes down to physics:
  • when Iranian bomb deployment becomes inevitable
  • heat and humidity that affect the fuel/bomb/missile loads of the Israeli aircraft.
This has been an immense ugliness since Jimmy Carter failed to support the Shah and failed to support the frail democratic government that replaced the Shah - shades of Kerensky and Lenin's October Revolution that has made democracy impossible in Russia ever since.

There was a bizarre disinterest from both of W's Secretaries of State - Colin Powell and Condoleezza Rice - in supporting pro-American demonstrations in Iran. Colin Powell replied to a question about his lack of interest thusly, "I don't think we should involve ourselves in a family dispute in Iran." Much, much better to let them develop nuclear weapons, rape and murder democratic demonstrators and put Israel in the inevitable position of contesting its annihilation.

All a matter of hot air and physics.